NR futures ended the final full trading week of June “sharply lower,” amid stronger supply and lower crude prices. Over the five days to 26 June, commodity funds and speculators were estimated to have unwound long positions, triggering widespread stop-loss selling, reported Japan Exchange Group (JPX). The market watcher said over 250kt of rubber futures contracts were liquidated across the SHFE and INE markets during the week – resulting in "the sharpest weekly price decline this year." Pricing, noted JPX, was influenced by expectations of higher interest rates and a stronger US dollar, a decline in crude oil prices, and improving NR supply.
Selected rubber futures price trends on major trading exchanges
Exchange
Commodity
Delivery
Week to 19/6/26
Week to 26/6/26
% Change
Osaka
RSS3
Sept ‘26
433.5 (JPY)
405.5 (JPY)
-6.9%
SHFE
SCR/RSS
Sept ‘26
17,780 (CNY)
16,625 (CNY)
-6.5%
INE
TSR
Sept ’26
15,440 (CNY)
14,350 (CNY)
-7.1%
SICOM
TSR20
Sept ‘26
228.4 (US$c)
208.8 (US$c)
-8.6%
SHFE
BR
Sept ‘26
12,915 (CNY)
12,025 (CNY)
-6.9%
(ERJ calculation for selected futures pricing, as tracked by JPX)
PROJECTS
Recently reported capacity additions & expansions
Reported
Company
Project
Location
Capex
Details
2 July
Solvay
Start-up of waste sand-based silica production
Qingdao, China, and Gunsan, South Korea
n/s
Follows recent launch of Livorno, Italy silica unit, which uses rice husk ash feedstock
1 July
Pirelli
Major US investment plan
US
$1-1.2bn
Pending approval at upcoming board meeting
1 July
Covestro
Build a new 660ktpa MDI production train
Shanghai, China
n/s
Also feasibility study for a second plant in UAE
1 July
Pyrum Innovations
Project to establish tire pyrolysis plant
Perl-Besch, Germany
n/s
Moving ahead following delays linked to issues (now resolved) at flagship Dillingen plant
The natural rubber market is expected to face both “opportunities for price appreciation” and “heightened volatility" over the coming months as global macroeconomic pressures and geopolitical risks continue to shape supply and demand. ERJ report