Lanxess is in the final stages of a
major research project into global demand for S-SBR in the coming years.The company expects to see the results of the 18-month study by the middle of this year.
Initial results show that demand for
the material is likely to grow rapidly on the back of increased
demand for fuel-efficient tyres. In fact, according to Christoph
Kalla, head of marketing for Lanxess performance butadiene rubber
group, all capacity which has been publicly announced up to now is
likely to be full almost as soon as it comes on stream.
ERJ has tracked announcements relating
to over 500kt of S-SBR due to come on stream between now and 2015
(see table), on top of an estimated total capacity at present of
around 1200 kt.
Much of this new capacity is in plants
expected to be dedicated to S-SBR for the tyre industry, however, all
such plants will be capable of making a range of materials, including
styrenic block copolymers (SBCs); and butadiene rubber in addition
to S-SBR.
Of this 1200 kt of existing capacity,
Kalla noted that up to 400 kt is dedicated to SBCs and so-called
first-generation S-SBR.
Kalla said that it is possible to make
simple SBR molecules in these plants - equivalent to emulsion SBR
molecules -- and this is what the first generation solution plants
mostly did. Lanxess' approach, he said, is to make more sophisticated
materials, not only predetermined molecular weights and branching
structures, but also in terms of functionalised groups at the chain
ends and along the backbone.
This type of high-tech material is
likely to become increasingly in demand as a complement to Lanxess
range of Nd-BR materials. The combination, said Kalla, can be used not
only to deliver specific properties such as fuel economy, wet grip
and longevity to tyres, but also to tune the compounds to the process
equipment and conditions within the factory, with the potential to
make the plant more productive.
Lanxess' study into S-SBR covers not
only applications in tyres, but regional variations and involved
detailed discussions with individual customers - mostly in the tyre
segment - to determine their likely needs for specific attributes
and properties in the coming years.
He said that customers are sometimes
prepared to pay higher prices for materials if they can identify
specific benefits which will add value for their own customers.
Kalla noted that with the advent of
consumer labels for tyres in Europe, Korea, Japan and increasingly
other countries, the benefits of improved wet grip and rolling
resistance can be made immediately obvious to the end-user. Because
these benefits are now immediately obvious, there is more willingness
from the tyre makers to accept some of these new technologies, he
said.
Overall, said Kalla, Lanxess is
continuing to invest in its S-SBR business, but not at the commodity
end of the spectrum.
He said that the introduction of new
players and new plants into the S-SBR field is unlikely to have the
effect of eroding margins through commoditisation. On the contrary,
he said, in addition to the significant pent-up demand, the
increasing number of producers will lead to increasing numbers of
grades and specialised materials, designed specifically for one or
other manufacturer, or in come cases, designed specifically for a
single plant.
Nevertheless, a few specialities aside,
Kalla said the need for a global supply network is increasing, as car
makers and tyre makers seek the capability to deliver the same
products in every region of the world.
Asked about the position of S-SBR in
Asia, Kalla said there is a much more pressing need to increase
capacity for Nd-BR in Asia. There are a number of facilities which
can make S-SBR (although Lanxess has none at present), but none which
can make Nd-BR. As a consequence, Lanxess made the decision to put in
a plant for that material in to Asia. The table below shows that a
large volume of S-SBR will be available in the region within a few
years.
-- more on this story in the coming issue of ERJ --
Company |
Location |
capacity (kT/year)
|
onstream |
|
JSR-BST |
Thailand |
50 |
June 2013 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Suimitomo Chemical |
Singapore |
40 |
June 2013 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Asahi Kasei |
Singapore |
50 |
May 2013 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Asahi Kasei |
Singapore |
50 |
2015 |
dedicated S-SBR |
JSR |
Japan |
25 |
Dec. 2012
|
dedicated S-SBR |
JSR-BST |
Thailand |
50 |
2015 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Kumho Petrochem |
Korea |
60 |
2013 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Styron |
Germany |
50 |
Dec. 2012 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Zeon |
Singapore |
30 |
July 2013
|
dedicated S-SBR |
Zeon |
Singapore |
40 |
2015 |
dedicated S-SBR |
Lanxess |
Texas |
20 |
Sept 2012 |
swing plant with BR |
Lanxess |
France |
unspecified |
unspecified |
dedicated S-SBR |
Lanxess |
Texas |
15 |
unspecified |
swing plant with BR |
Polimeri |
UK |
25 |
2013 |
swing plant with BR |
Nizhnekamsknefteknim |
Nizhnekamsk |
60 |
unspecified |
dedicated S-SBR |